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Feb. 21,
2005
LOSSES
ARE BETTER THAN WINS
The
daily double is “Teams that are Not Computer
Friendly” And the answer is…
According to the computers, if the season ended
today this team would have no shot at at-large
consideration to the NCAA tournament. A 21-5
record looks nice, but after further calculation
they don’t measure up as one of the 65 best.
Who is Oral Roberts?
Correct. Should they fail to win the Mid-Continent
Conference tournament, which begins on March 5,
the Golden Eagles’ chances of an NCAA at-large bid
won’t be in jeopardy. They just won’t exist at
all.
Here is the problem. You shouldn’t need a
calculator, mathematician or a course in
bracketology to tell you what you can see if pull
up a chair and watch the Golden Eagles. It’s not a
shot at the various ranking systems. It’s more an
indictment of the overall process. Perception --
as they say -- is reality and it’s become all
about the numbers.
“It’s frustrating,” says Oral Roberts head coach
Scott Sutton. “We have a realistic chance of
winning 25 or 26 games and still not making it to
the NCAA tournament. Our RPI is not as good as
some others so it will come down to winning the
conference tournament.”
That is the reality that Utah State had to face
last season, after being upset in the semi-finals
of the Big West Conference Tournament. The Aggies
were ranked in the AP and ESPN/USA Today polls for
the final few weeks of the regular season, but
they were not invited to the dance.
Yes Utah State was ranked, which makes for a
difficult comparison. But let’s compare the Golden
Eagles to the media’s favorite mid-major, Vermont.
Tom Brennan’s final season in Burlington has been
fun to watch. The Catamounts, who never went to
the NCAA tournament prior to 2003, are in search
of their third such trip in as many years.
Recently Vermont’s RPI ranked among the top 20 in
America. Make absolutely no mistake about it. It’s
great for college basketball. But are they that
much better than Oral Roberts?
Given their current spot in the RPI, ORU would
need binoculars to catch a glimpse of the
Catamounts. The Golden Eagles can boast wins over
Saint Louis and Tulsa, but neither team has
enjoyed great success in conference play so that
doesn’t help them. Neither does the fact that
Georgetown lost to St. John’s over the weekend.
Sutton’s bunch ripped the Hoyas, by 18, in the
Rainbow Classic, lost on a buzzer-beater to host
Hawaii and went toe-to-toe with UAB in the
consolation game. They closed the calendar year
with a one-point loss, on a questionable call, at
Indiana. And this past weekend they beat one of
the hottest teams in the Missouri Valley
Conference, downing Southwest Missouri State in an
ESPN Bracket Buster matchup.
That’s the brief summary of the ORU resume, which
is highlighted by wins over C-USA, Missouri Valley
and WAC opponents.
Arguably Vermont’s most impressive non-league win
came at Holy Cross, currently in first place in
the Patriot League. The Catamounts did play Kansas
down to the wire in Lawrence. They also lost to a
really good Nevada team and they were blown out at
North Carolina.
A win over Nevada would have put them in great
position, should they fail to win the America East
Conference tourney, despite not having any super
significant non-league wins. It’s the two losses
to Carolina and KU that have Vermont miles ahead
of ORU.
The ice is getting thin and I am not encouraging
the Catamount faithful to begin tapping around the
area where I stand. Vermont is in the midst of a
magical three-year run and they are not simply a
good team in an average league. But the question
remains, are they that much better than Oral
Roberts?
No.
The Taylor Coppenrath-T.J. Sorrentine combination
is as good a one-two punch is there is in college
basketball. But Oral Roberts can boast a
comparable duo and one of the best trios west of
the Mississippi.
Sophomore
Caleb Green (right), who tied his career-high with
33 points in the win over SMS, is just nine points
shy of 1,000 career points. In the history of the
program, 26 (soon to be 27) players have scored
1,000 or more points. This year’s team will have
three of them. Fellow sophomore Ken Tutt (above)
and senior Luke Spencer-Gardner have already
eclipsed the 1,000-point plateau.
Undoubtedly I will get some arguments, but there
isn’t a better sophomore duo in America, at the
mid-major level, than Green and Tutt.
Funny thing is, nobody has ever heard of any of
these guys.
Forget the fact that ORU has already tied a school
record for most wins away from home (11) and put
aside all the other impressive little stats. Like
Coppenrath and Sorrentine; Green, Tutt, Gardner
and junior college transfer Larry Owens can play
for a lot of teams. Individually and collectively
they are very good.
“They could play in any conference in America,”
says Sutton. “We have put a really good product on
the court. It’s just that a lot of people haven’t
had the opportunity to see it.”
Perception is reality. Vermont gets a lot of
national attention, which is well deserved. Oral
Roberts deserves national attention, but gets
none.
To be fair, Sutton’s team did grab some headlines
early on, but those quickly vanished after the
one-point loss at Indiana. They lost their third
league game of the season, at Western Illinois,
and a four-game winning streak was halted, by
visiting UMKC.
But an 11-2 conference mark is not too shabby. And
they are peaking at the right time. Winners of six
straight and ten of eleven, the Golden Eagles are
living up to the pre-season hype. But unless they
win out, the NIT will be the final destination.
The margin for error at the mid-major level is so
thin it’s damn near invisible. You simply cannot
afford one stumble. Those are only afforded to the
high-profile programs. As if a loss counted more.
It does.
It’s very simple. Oral Roberts is as good as any
mid-major team in college basketball and it’s been
proven that they can play with the big boys. The
numbers in the equations may not support that, but
the old-fashion pull-up-a-chair approach will give
you a much different final result.
It all comes down to scheduling. Vermont can boast
Kansas and North Carolina and Oral Roberts cannot.
Start taking notes coach. You might have to
re-work your approach to scheduling. Like say,
that of Vermont’s Tom Brennan.
“I will look closely at what the [Selection]
committee does with mid-majors,” says Sutton. “We
may have to change our approach. It’s an uphill
battle trying to schedule opponents because a lot
of people don’t want to play you. That’s the
reality. We deal with it and see if we can change
our approach. It’s become one of the most
challenging things for coaches at the mid-major
level.”
Sutton isn’t complaining at all. Sure he’s
frustrated, but if you don’t get frustrated once
in a while then you are satisfied with where you
are.
In a perfect world both Vermont and Oral Roberts
will be two of sixty-five to receive invites.
Unfortunately the words “perfect” and “college
basketball” rarely accompany one another in the
same sentence.
ARCHIVES:
New-Look Hoyas
|
Return to Fantasy Island |
Out of Touch with Reality |
Searching for Respect |
Exploring New Territory |
An Important Presence |