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A Mistake Repeated?

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
                                                                             
- George Santayana

March 18, 2008

Will Roy Williams and North Carolina cut down the nets in San Antonio?Once again, the talking heads at CBS have sat by idly while all the elements are in place for another Final Four ratings debacle. As the sport I love begins its annual championship coronation process, the seeds have been sown to either produce an epic finale and the accompanying media bonanza, or a monumental anti-climax that will leave many sports fans entirely disinterested on Championship Monday.

Admit it. You are psyched about UNC-UCLA. You can’t wait for this game - you wish you could fast forward through the whole darn thing and just get to it already. The only game that matters. The history. The legacy. Hansbrough and Love. ACC vs. PAC10. Smith and Wooden in the stands. The exceptional defense against the unstoppable offense. Everybody in your pool will pick one or the other, and the final score tiebreaker will mean something for once. It will be the greatest college basketball game since… Ever! And if UNC and UCLA aren’t playing for the championship… Well, you’re probably not going to care or watch.

It’s that last part that could create a big, ugly problem for college basketball. The elephant in the room, feasting and growing by the day, is that the nation cares about UNC-UCLA, but doesn’t care nearly as much about any other championship game combination. Maybe the powers that be will get their wish – it happened 3 years ago when Illinois and North Carolina squared off in the game everyone wanted to see (though not before an Illini miracle against Arizona and a phantom travel call for the Heels against Villanova). But if it doesn’t happen, and if Memphis, or Texas, or Tennessee, or Wisconsin, or someone out of the blue like Florida makes it, the national apathy towards the championship game will crush whatever momentum the season has generated so far.

This can’t be entirely prevented, but the blow could have been softened, if the TV media voices were content to let things play out without selling a game that may - or may not - happen. Yet, as soon as the brackets were announced, the national consensus, set in motion by analysts in the two major college basketball television outlets was the inevitability of a tournament dominated by the 1 seeds. Even if this is entirely true – even if this is what everyone genuinely feels – this is a terrible sales pitch for the sport. A one and done single elimination tournament invariably will produce upsets, and not just the first weekend. If the sales pitch is parity and UCLA-UNC plays out, everybody wins. But the pitch is “expect it”, and too many casual fans will actually buy in and expect it. If one or both teams lose before the Final 4, the tournament will lose far too much star power and hype to attempt to shift the attention to the remaining teams. Two years ago the sport was burned when UConn and Duke dominated the rankings all season, but did not make their Final Four reservations. Ratings tanked, despite the fact that the winning Florida team was full of characters, talent, and human-interest stories. If this was college football, UCLA and UNC would have been selected for the title game, and Memphis, Kansas, and everyone else would get to sit at home and watch. We certainly don’t want that, do we? But if we have a tournament, we create the strong possibility that the most frequently discussed teams simply will not make it to the end.

College basketball need not look further than the only other major one-and-done playoff in North American sports to learn a valuable lesson. It was only a few short months ago the sports-watching nation was all but assured of a de facto Super Bowl between New England and Indianapolis, the winner of which would celebrate their title with a beat-down of either Green Bay (America’s QB) or Dallas (America’s Team). In the end, the NFL was bailed out by the NY Giants, whose location (biggest media market) and human-interest stories (Eli Manning, regular season game, etc) were compelling enough to still warrant the interest of the public. While the game lived up to, even exceeded expectations, its ratings would have been trumped by either a Green Bay or Dallas match-up. The NFL can afford that kind of misstep. Sadly in 2008, college basketball cannot.

So I implore you, the average fan, to take a chance on cheering a few teams other than the Bruins and Tar Heels. Enjoy everything the tournament brings to the table, and don’t get too upset if your team gets upset. There are plenty of great potential championship games, and we should not abandon the sport if the marquee game never comes to fruition. When all is said and done, if the marquee game happens, let us celebrate that it did – against all odds.


Ehud Knoll is a sfaff writer for collegeinsider.com. EMAIL EHUD

 


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